Today I bring you another mock draft, where I will be completing a 14 round dynasty start-up draft using the FantasyPros simulator. In my last article, I completed a mock draft that focused on short term wins, and that team came together nicely to take advantage of the veteran discount that a dynasty format can offer.
In this article, we take a different approach and show you what the opposite strategy would look like. talk I will touch on my plans and individual picks for the first 10 rounds. As I mentioned before, using a mock draft simulator is something we have done at FantasyPros over the past two seasons and the results have been overwhelmingly good throughout the season and in dynasty leagues. If you haven’t signed up for our in-season package yet, I urge you to do so today.
Dynasty Startup Mock Draft
In a previous Dynasty Startup mock draft article, I picking Picking a more veteran team is a good idea because it increases the value of your picks. But today, we’re taking the opposite approach. age 25. This is a strategy I don’t use much in real dynasty startups, so it was a bit out of my league. From this exercise, I had a few observations:
- Needless to say, this team will need a lot of luck to win the league this year.
- In the short term, some deficiencies at key positions (especially running back) will hold this roster back. Following this strategy means drafting a lot of rookies and second-year players who didn’t break out in their rookie seasons. While this strategy can still land you stars, building a roster this way creates a young core that won’t fall off.
- I think this strategy is viable, but we have to hope that the upcoming rookie draft will become more important and they can acquire some second-year players.
- My personal preference is I’m going to draft a more veteran team to win now, mainly because I think the idea of ​​rebuilding in a dynasty format is overrated. Even if you don’t finish in the top three of the rookie draft, you can still continue to accumulate quality players on your team.
1.09 — Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN)
This is a superflex league, so the quarterback has the advantage (I was hoping Anthony Richardson would take that position), but Jefferson is a dynasty WR1. Jefferson has averaged 6.5 catches and 98.3 yards per game for his career. He’s a 1.09 slam dunk pick.
2.04 — Jordan Love (QB – GB)
Love was drafted three picks after Justin Herbert, but that will likely be rectified over time. The Packers have one of the best young offensive lines in the league, and Love has shown he’s more than capable of leading a game. I’ve been high on Green Bay’s offense all offseason, so I’m happy to have Love at quarterback.
3.09 — Chris Olave (WR – NO)
Olave has the potential to be a star. he He looks like he could be a future top 10 fantasy receiver. In his second season, Olave received a ton of targets (8.6 per game). Which His impressive rookie season has translated into increased catches and receiving yards. The only negative for Olave has been some inconsistent quarterback play in New Orleans, but he is one of the fastest improving players in the league.
4.04 — JJ McCarthy (QB – MIN)
McCarthy isn’t a player I’d actively draft this year, but he fits in this mock for a few reasons: Minnesota traded picks to acquire him, and he’ll be playing for Kevin O’Connell. wonderful A proven quarterback. McCarthy has a lot of weapons and will team up with Justin Jefferson with this pick.
5.09 — Zay Flowers (WR – BAL)
I thought of George Pickens here, but Flowers looks to be a breakout candidate heading into Year 2. He’ll get a 24% target share in 2023 and has even less competition for targets in Baltimore. Flowers’ target numbers in his final seven games (including playoffs) were 8, 10, 13 and 8. Flowers is poised to move up and his dynasty average draft position (ADP) could move up a round a year from now.
6.04 — Jonathan Brooks (RB – CAR)
In retrospect, Brooks is not a good choice at this position. He just recovered from an ACL injury and still has to compete with Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders. This roster is in it for the long haul, so the pick is justified from that standpoint, but Trey Benson, picked a round later, is more valuable as a similar player with better offensive power. Benson also has a clearer path to playing time with James Conner still not playing. full I enjoyed the NFL season without missing a game.
7.09 — Jayden Reed (WR – GB)
I’m keeping the receivers stocked here. Reed set a Green Bay franchise rookie record in 2023 with 64 catches for a team-high 793 yards. Reed also caught a team-leading eight touchdowns and established a strong connection with Jordan Love. The Packers are loaded with talent at receiver, so Reed will have to compete for targets, but he’s been a highly praised signing this offseason and is a big part of the team. he He will enter 2024 as a WR1. This is another pick that allows you to stack the QB with your top target, which I am trying to do at startup.
8.04 — Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAC)
In a vacuum, Thomas is a solid dynasty pick. he Thomas profiles as a strong WR2 for Jacksonville. Playing with Trevor Lawrence puts him in good position, and Jacksonville’s offensive line is good enough that there’s reason to think he could be a sleeper for Offensive Rookie of the Year. But looking back at this mock, both Keion Coleman and Trey Benson were still available at this pick. I’ve already mentioned that a bit Compared to Benson, Coleman is in a better offensive line and is connected to a much better quarterback with a clearer path to his target. lots of Analysts see some bust potential there, but at the same time, there’s a lot of growth potential there as well. They should have moved on from Thomas and gone in a different direction, but that’s why we do mock drafts.
9.09 — Blake Coram (RB – LAR)
The Rams have Kyren Williams and Sean McVay isn’t a fan of workload sharing, so this pick might not work out in 2024. Still, I think McVay is smart enough to realize he overloaded Williams last year, and in the short term, Corum is at least a good short-yardage/goal-line back. In redraft leagues, I don’t think you’d draft Corum very often (if at all), but at this point in the start-up draft, he’d be a great dynasty target.
10.04 — Cole Kmet (TE – CHI)
I missed out on Jake Ferguson one round, so Kmet was in a tier of tight ends I liked that included Pat Friarmouth and Luke Musgrave, and I chose Kmet, who has a rookie quarterback in the mix despite the stiff competition for targets. You should rely on him. He’s just coming off a season in which he had 73 catches and averaged over 10 PPR points per game, and if he can get close to those numbers as Chicago’s passing game improves, he’ll be well worth a pick this late. draft.
rest
11.09 — Kendre Miller (RB – NO)
12.04 — Josh Downs (WR – IND)
13.09 — Bucky Irving (TB – RB)
14.04 — Gabe Davis (WR – JAC)
Miller and Downs are my two favorite late-round targets. Downs, in particular, was very good as a rookie. With Anthony Richardson back, Downs could be even better in 2024 and be a breakout candidate. Miller and Irving are two running backs who can thrive, but Irving may need an injury to flourish. Miller seems like a decent bet in terms of touches, even without factoring in the Alvin Kamara situation. Davis is only 25, so a change of environment could help him reach his potential.
Check out my draft results here.
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Jason Kamrowski is a featured writer for FantasyPros. To see more of Jason’s work, please see his archive Follow us on Twitter Jason Kamrowski.